I am also a professional forecaster. You can read more about my approach in this science policy interview with the Federation of American Scientists.
I am currently working as a forecasting consultant for the Swift Centre as well as a 'Pro Forecaster' for Metaculus where I provide probabilistic forecasts and detailed rationales of quantitative predictions for a variety of clients, ranging from governments and non-profit organisations to private companies. A sample of recent work includes:
I am currently working as a forecasting consultant for the Swift Centre as well as a 'Pro Forecaster' for Metaculus where I provide probabilistic forecasts and detailed rationales of quantitative predictions for a variety of clients, ranging from governments and non-profit organisations to private companies. A sample of recent work includes: